Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 64.951816 73.527448 82.333315 92.018830 102.340921 112.982629 124.753285
2025-06-08 50.881563 63.007059 76.071092 91.057081 107.643949 125.323676 145.478059
2025-06-15 43.735896 57.919443 73.742760 92.425736 113.623588 136.696231 163.483960
2025-06-22 38.440182 54.104960 72.128073 93.936267 119.187877 147.134718 180.045633
2025-06-29 32.981888 49.428858 68.947548 93.131577 121.672546 153.744707 191.997055
2025-07-06 27.762434 44.481146 64.970855 90.965528 122.214614 157.839731 200.834196
2025-07-13 25.924025 43.606307 65.778867 94.370352 129.169707 169.220728 217.928207
2025-07-20 23.738086 42.042601 65.548298 96.361992 134.329287 178.432980 232.466515
2025-07-27 20.849367 39.247673 63.533249 95.962897 136.463747 183.983982 242.664172
2025-08-03 18.162798 36.473622 61.342155 95.170505 137.979854 188.695733 251.793840
2025-08-10 16.278430 34.680142 60.315842 95.750849 141.098359 195.255988 263.055236
2025-08-17 14.198640 32.382235 58.449058 95.115137 142.603355 199.801741 271.872590
2025-08-24 12.590292 30.686736 57.343226 95.447094 145.333974 205.878165 282.601425
2025-08-31 10.753381 28.415157 55.280608 94.396944 146.234127 209.674371 290.571764
2025-09-07 9.770883 27.481630 55.079678 95.805644 150.246171 217.268004 303.107675
2025-09-14 8.915568 26.676464 55.006843 97.346392 154.402184 225.027418 315.845097
2025-09-21 7.599258 24.854103 53.290497 96.524978 155.416772 228.840397 323.752607
2025-09-28 6.149361 22.542698 50.668827 94.312786 154.510114 230.182306 328.585112
2025-10-05 5.957260 22.774706 52.046076 97.789877 161.153618 241.028647 345.104828
2025-10-12 5.510732 22.407340 52.431237 99.823281 165.864242 249.438059 358.636414
2025-10-19 4.684681 21.073983 51.169429 99.415846 167.263736 253.629684 366.947952
2025-10-26 3.891039 19.658446 49.679513 98.606852 168.072311 257.036147 374.264412
2025-11-02 3.386183 18.850485 49.161945 99.199360 170.761180 262.832292 384.546841